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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+3.15vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+2.74vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+0.43vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.81+1.06vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.51+4.60vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.06-1.49vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.44-1.20vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.28-4.98vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.53-0.37vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-4.54vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-1.20-1.37vs Predicted
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13Sacred Heart University-0.74-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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4.74Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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3.43Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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9.6McGill University-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.51Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.8Salve Regina University1.440.1%1st Place
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4.02Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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9.63University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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6.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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10.63Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.97Sacred Heart University-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Frost | 14.8% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 9.7% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 21.0% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Erwes | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 16.8% | 20.7% | 23.8% | 17.6% |
| Luke Orchardo | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Root | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 17.5% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 15.8% | 26.0% | 22.3% | 15.9% |
| Joseph Dragon | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 23.9% | 43.5% |
| John Secor | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 14.4% | 21.9% | 27.0% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.