Race 10B

neisa-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

7.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caroline Bayless 12.0% 11.7% 10.0% 11.6% 11.7% 9.3% 9.6% 7.1% 6.0% 4.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Gray Hemans 9.6% 10.2% 8.5% 7.8% 9.6% 8.6% 11.2% 8.9% 8.3% 7.4% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.8%
Sarah Burn 14.1% 10.5% 12.4% 10.8% 10.5% 10.0% 7.7% 6.7% 6.3% 4.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Kaila Pfrang 8.8% 9.3% 9.7% 8.8% 8.8% 9.4% 8.2% 8.2% 7.6% 7.2% 5.9% 4.8% 2.2% 0.9%
Chloe Holder 3.8% 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 5.5% 6.3% 7.3% 7.4% 8.5% 10.2% 10.8% 10.2% 9.2% 4.9%
Elizabeth Kaplan 9.4% 8.6% 9.8% 8.9% 9.0% 9.7% 7.5% 9.3% 8.7% 6.8% 5.4% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 3.1% 3.0% 4.3% 5.3% 6.4% 7.7% 12.3% 16.3% 30.6%
Lucy Paskoff 1.9% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 3.8% 4.5% 6.0% 6.8% 7.4% 9.2% 13.8% 17.1% 18.1%
Michaela O'Brien 14.1% 16.4% 13.1% 12.7% 9.8% 8.4% 7.5% 6.3% 5.1% 3.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Megan Grimes 8.5% 9.5% 11.1% 10.0% 9.0% 9.8% 9.8% 8.6% 6.4% 6.5% 4.5% 4.1% 1.6% 0.7%
Emma Snead 6.6% 4.9% 5.7% 5.9% 6.6% 7.5% 8.9% 8.4% 9.4% 9.7% 9.2% 8.2% 6.6% 2.4%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.9% 4.5% 3.6% 5.3% 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 7.4% 8.8% 9.7% 11.7% 11.6% 10.6% 5.5%
Lauren Krim 2.2% 1.7% 1.9% 2.7% 2.6% 3.3% 3.3% 4.0% 4.5% 7.4% 10.5% 12.0% 17.4% 26.2%
Michaela ODonnell 3.5% 4.2% 3.9% 4.0% 4.5% 4.9% 5.9% 7.1% 8.2% 8.8% 11.8% 10.9% 13.6% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.