Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jacob Martz 19.9% 18.2% 17.2% 13.9% 12.3% 9.1% 4.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christina Frost 14.0% 16.4% 13.1% 15.4% 13.2% 9.5% 9.4% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Riley Eger 12.2% 9.9% 12.4% 12.2% 11.5% 13.9% 13.9% 9.2% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Orchardo 11.6% 13.2% 14.1% 12.8% 13.1% 12.4% 10.1% 7.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Macklin Fluehr 15.6% 15.6% 15.3% 12.0% 14.3% 10.3% 7.7% 5.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Dragon 5.1% 5.5% 6.8% 7.0% 6.6% 10.8% 14.3% 20.0% 15.0% 6.4% 2.2% 0.3%
Pierre DuPont 10.6% 10.6% 9.3% 12.7% 12.4% 13.5% 13.2% 10.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Alexander Root 8.0% 7.3% 7.6% 9.2% 9.3% 12.9% 15.0% 15.3% 10.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Thomas Erwes 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 0.7% 2.1% 2.3% 4.2% 7.3% 17.4% 24.4% 23.6% 14.7%
John Secor 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 1.7% 2.4% 2.1% 2.8% 4.6% 12.4% 23.5% 25.6% 22.7%
Earl Lin 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 2.0% 3.2% 8.0% 15.0% 22.1% 45.4%
Alison Deyett 0.7% 1.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 7.2% 17.4% 22.7% 24.6% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.