Race 12B

neisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michaela O'Brien 15.9% 14.3% 12.6% 13.2% 10.7% 8.5% 6.7% 6.2% 5.5% 3.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elizabeth Kaplan 8.1% 9.6% 8.6% 9.2% 8.7% 9.2% 8.8% 9.5% 8.5% 6.5% 6.3% 4.5% 2.3% 0.4%
Caroline Bayless 11.5% 11.3% 10.9% 11.5% 11.2% 9.4% 9.3% 8.2% 5.8% 4.0% 3.4% 2.1% 1.1% 0.3%
Chloe Holder 4.0% 4.7% 4.5% 5.2% 5.9% 7.0% 6.6% 7.5% 9.2% 10.4% 9.4% 10.8% 9.8% 5.0%
Sarah Burn 12.8% 12.4% 11.2% 10.9% 10.2% 9.5% 8.2% 7.6% 6.4% 4.5% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Megan Grimes 9.6% 9.7% 8.9% 9.1% 9.0% 9.5% 9.5% 10.0% 7.5% 7.0% 4.9% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3%
Lucy Paskoff 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.8% 3.6% 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 5.5% 8.5% 9.4% 12.6% 17.9% 20.3%
Emma Snead 5.6% 4.9% 6.5% 7.3% 7.4% 7.5% 8.5% 8.9% 8.2% 9.3% 9.2% 8.5% 5.2% 3.0%
Kaila Pfrang 8.7% 8.7% 8.8% 8.9% 8.8% 8.2% 9.0% 8.9% 7.2% 7.2% 6.7% 5.3% 2.4% 1.1%
Michaela ODonnell 3.0% 3.4% 4.3% 4.0% 4.7% 5.5% 5.9% 5.4% 8.1% 9.4% 10.8% 12.2% 13.5% 10.0%
Gray Hemans 10.2% 9.8% 11.6% 8.5% 8.6% 9.6% 8.7% 7.6% 7.6% 6.0% 6.3% 2.8% 1.9% 0.8%
Adeline Schoen 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 3.2% 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 5.9% 8.3% 10.1% 13.2% 16.0% 20.3%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 2.4% 2.4% 3.3% 3.4% 3.4% 5.9% 6.7% 7.0% 11.4% 16.2% 31.9%
AnaLucia Clarkson 4.7% 3.8% 4.0% 4.8% 5.6% 5.2% 7.2% 7.6% 8.8% 9.0% 11.6% 10.4% 11.1% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.