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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+2.49vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.44+3.90vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.81+2.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+0.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.28-0.97vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.06-1.51vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97-2.34vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-0.74+1.91vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.51+0.61vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-3.57vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-1.20-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.53-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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5.9Salve Regina University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.11Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.1%1st Place
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4.03Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.49Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.66Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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9.91Sacred Heart University-0.740.0%1st Place
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9.61McGill University-0.510.0%1st Place
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6.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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10.66Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.63University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 20.8% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Root | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Pierre DuPont | 10.3% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 13.4% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 14.5% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 13.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 12.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Secor | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 26.0% | 23.0% |
| Thomas Erwes | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 17.8% | 24.2% | 22.8% | 15.7% |
| Joseph Dragon | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Earl Lin | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 15.1% | 23.0% | 45.1% |
| Alison Deyett | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 17.5% | 23.6% | 25.1% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.