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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jacob Martz 20.8% 19.0% 15.4% 13.9% 12.8% 8.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Root 5.6% 7.2% 8.2% 9.0% 11.8% 11.4% 13.4% 18.2% 10.1% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Pierre DuPont 10.3% 8.6% 12.6% 9.0% 12.2% 13.5% 13.3% 12.5% 6.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Christina Frost 13.4% 17.2% 14.4% 13.2% 12.8% 12.7% 8.5% 5.2% 1.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Macklin Fluehr 14.5% 17.0% 14.2% 14.4% 13.3% 10.2% 8.5% 4.6% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Orchardo 13.4% 11.3% 12.1% 16.0% 11.7% 11.9% 12.2% 6.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Riley Eger 12.8% 10.9% 13.5% 11.7% 12.2% 12.3% 11.8% 9.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1%
John Secor 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 2.4% 1.3% 2.3% 3.6% 5.4% 14.1% 20.0% 26.0% 23.0%
Thomas Erwes 1.1% 0.9% 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 2.6% 4.1% 7.2% 17.8% 24.2% 22.8% 15.7%
Joseph Dragon 5.6% 5.5% 6.3% 7.3% 7.6% 11.1% 14.3% 19.4% 13.5% 7.3% 1.6% 0.5%
Earl Lin 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 2.1% 3.2% 7.2% 15.1% 23.0% 45.1%
Alison Deyett 1.0% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 2.2% 2.5% 3.6% 5.7% 17.5% 23.6% 25.1% 15.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.