Race 13B

neisa-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Gray Hemans 10.4% 8.6% 10.4% 10.5% 8.3% 10.2% 9.5% 8.6% 8.0% 6.2% 4.5% 2.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Caroline Bayless 12.3% 12.9% 11.9% 10.8% 10.8% 9.5% 8.2% 6.8% 5.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Kaila Pfrang 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 8.5% 9.1% 7.8% 9.0% 10.2% 8.3% 7.6% 6.4% 4.5% 2.5% 0.6%
Megan Grimes 10.4% 9.0% 9.9% 7.8% 9.8% 10.7% 8.8% 7.8% 8.2% 5.9% 5.7% 3.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Elizabeth Kaplan 7.8% 8.8% 9.0% 9.9% 8.8% 9.8% 8.0% 9.2% 7.0% 7.8% 6.3% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9%
Lucy Paskoff 2.4% 2.4% 2.0% 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 4.5% 5.5% 6.3% 7.8% 10.5% 12.2% 16.6% 20.2%
Emma Snead 5.3% 6.2% 5.7% 7.7% 7.3% 7.2% 7.6% 8.3% 9.7% 10.2% 8.5% 8.7% 5.5% 2.1%
Michaela O'Brien 15.9% 15.4% 12.0% 11.7% 10.3% 8.2% 8.3% 6.7% 4.8% 3.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
AnaLucia Clarkson 4.2% 5.0% 4.2% 4.6% 5.7% 5.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 9.9% 9.8% 11.2% 10.0% 6.6%
Chloe Holder 5.5% 4.3% 5.1% 4.5% 6.0% 6.8% 8.2% 6.8% 8.3% 10.4% 10.1% 10.8% 9.0% 4.2%
Adeline Schoen 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 5.0% 6.9% 6.2% 9.4% 13.7% 16.5% 22.1%
Caylin Schnoor 3.4% 3.6% 3.9% 3.5% 4.5% 4.5% 5.4% 6.7% 7.0% 8.2% 10.2% 13.4% 13.1% 12.7%
Sarah Burn 11.2% 11.4% 12.0% 12.6% 10.5% 9.4% 8.1% 7.3% 5.5% 5.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 3.3% 3.8% 3.6% 5.9% 6.1% 8.9% 10.7% 19.1% 29.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.