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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.76+4.17vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.06+2.41vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.59-0.63vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.97-0.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-1.94vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-0.54vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.52-2.42vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.08-4.63vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.51-0.46vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-0.95-1.82vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.20-2.39vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.53-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.41Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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3.37Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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4.66Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.2%1st Place
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6.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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5.58Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.37Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.54McGill University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.18Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.61Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.58University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Swanson | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Luke Orchardo | 12.0% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 22.5% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Frost | 15.3% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dragon | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Pfosi | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 14.3% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Erwes | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 18.4% | 25.3% | 22.7% | 13.3% |
| Katherine Horne | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 27.0% | 28.6% |
| Earl Lin | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 23.1% | 42.9% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 18.8% | 24.7% | 23.7% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.