Race 8B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Shannon Killian 12.7% 12.3% 12.8% 13.9% 13.4% 13.2% 10.3% 8.0% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 8.8% 9.9% 10.5% 11.4% 12.8% 12.7% 14.7% 11.2% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Riley Eger 12.6% 11.1% 13.3% 10.9% 12.3% 13.6% 12.6% 8.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Martz 20.9% 21.0% 15.6% 14.1% 11.4% 7.8% 5.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Orchardo 13.2% 11.5% 13.9% 15.0% 11.3% 11.6% 10.8% 7.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Pfosi 7.1% 8.3% 8.9% 8.7% 10.4% 13.1% 14.0% 17.4% 8.1% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Christina Frost 16.0% 16.7% 14.5% 13.4% 13.1% 10.4% 8.0% 5.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Joseph Dragon 6.0% 6.0% 6.1% 7.5% 8.8% 10.4% 14.1% 18.6% 13.7% 6.3% 1.9% 0.6%
Alison Deyett 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 2.7% 2.8% 7.9% 18.6% 26.5% 21.6% 14.2%
Thomas Erwes 0.5% 0.7% 2.3% 2.2% 2.6% 2.2% 2.9% 5.8% 19.1% 24.6% 23.0% 14.1%
Katherine Horne 0.8% 0.8% 0.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.2% 2.7% 3.4% 12.4% 18.3% 27.3% 30.3%
Earl Lin 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.9% 3.2% 9.1% 15.5% 25.0% 40.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.