Race 14B

neisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caroline Bayless 11.9% 12.4% 11.3% 10.3% 9.6% 9.5% 8.9% 6.9% 7.2% 5.3% 3.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4%
Sarah Burn 12.7% 12.5% 11.1% 11.2% 10.4% 9.3% 9.3% 6.7% 6.4% 4.6% 2.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Chloe Holder 4.5% 4.1% 5.6% 4.8% 5.0% 6.7% 7.1% 8.1% 10.0% 9.5% 10.5% 10.4% 8.6% 5.0%
Michaela O'Brien 15.9% 14.9% 12.3% 11.2% 10.6% 8.2% 7.6% 6.3% 5.1% 4.3% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Megan Grimes 9.8% 10.2% 10.5% 9.5% 10.3% 8.7% 8.8% 9.4% 7.5% 5.7% 4.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.8%
Emma Snead 4.9% 6.0% 7.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 8.9% 8.6% 9.7% 8.6% 7.8% 5.8% 2.9%
Gray Hemans 9.4% 8.2% 10.5% 9.0% 9.7% 9.8% 9.2% 9.7% 7.2% 6.3% 4.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.3%
Kaila Pfrang 8.2% 8.6% 8.3% 9.0% 9.3% 8.8% 9.4% 8.1% 7.5% 7.8% 6.6% 4.6% 3.0% 0.8%
Lucy Paskoff 2.3% 2.1% 2.8% 2.8% 3.8% 3.1% 3.9% 4.5% 5.9% 7.0% 11.5% 13.3% 17.8% 19.1%
Caylin Schnoor 2.8% 3.4% 2.7% 4.4% 4.5% 5.4% 5.2% 5.8% 6.5% 8.2% 10.3% 12.8% 15.2% 12.8%
Elizabeth Kaplan 9.8% 8.3% 8.8% 9.2% 8.7% 9.6% 9.1% 8.6% 9.0% 7.4% 5.5% 3.5% 2.1% 0.5%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.5% 4.9% 4.7% 6.2% 5.7% 6.0% 6.0% 7.2% 9.6% 9.1% 11.1% 10.6% 9.5% 6.1%
Adeline Schoen 2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 3.1% 2.9% 4.3% 4.3% 5.1% 4.5% 8.5% 9.4% 12.8% 16.4% 21.9%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.9% 2.0% 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 3.0% 3.4% 4.9% 5.0% 6.5% 9.7% 11.9% 15.9% 29.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.