Race 9B

providence-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jacob Martz 21.8% 19.4% 16.7% 13.4% 10.8% 8.4% 5.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 12.4% 14.0% 13.0% 14.5% 12.3% 11.9% 9.8% 7.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 10.3% 8.7% 10.4% 12.0% 11.3% 13.6% 13.3% 12.2% 6.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Christina Frost 14.3% 17.8% 13.4% 12.9% 13.0% 10.3% 10.1% 6.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Orchardo 12.8% 14.1% 13.6% 12.2% 13.8% 11.2% 9.7% 7.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Riley Eger 12.6% 10.3% 13.4% 11.4% 13.3% 12.8% 10.9% 10.2% 3.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Joseph Dragon 6.1% 6.1% 7.1% 7.8% 8.2% 10.7% 13.5% 17.2% 14.0% 6.7% 2.0% 0.6%
Thomas Erwes 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.9% 4.5% 5.9% 17.8% 23.1% 22.3% 15.7%
Katherine Horne 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.9% 2.9% 3.8% 13.4% 19.4% 27.3% 27.7%
Alison Deyett 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 2.8% 2.2% 2.0% 3.9% 6.1% 16.9% 25.4% 23.2% 14.7%
Nicholas Pfosi 7.0% 6.6% 8.8% 9.0% 10.7% 13.1% 14.0% 16.6% 9.1% 3.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Earl Lin 0.4% 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 2.3% 3.3% 8.9% 16.8% 22.9% 41.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.