Race 15B

neisa-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caroline Bayless 11.9% 12.0% 12.7% 9.3% 10.2% 10.0% 8.9% 6.9% 6.3% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Sarah Burn 13.5% 12.0% 10.1% 11.8% 11.1% 9.1% 8.3% 7.6% 5.9% 4.8% 3.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Michaela O'Brien 15.0% 15.0% 13.2% 11.2% 11.5% 9.7% 7.3% 7.0% 4.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Caylin Schnoor 2.4% 3.4% 4.0% 3.6% 4.6% 6.0% 5.5% 6.6% 8.5% 8.1% 10.9% 12.2% 13.8% 10.6%
Gray Hemans 8.7% 9.8% 10.2% 11.3% 9.3% 9.2% 8.8% 8.6% 7.2% 6.9% 5.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Elizabeth Kaplan 9.2% 8.9% 9.8% 8.5% 9.3% 9.6% 8.6% 9.4% 7.5% 7.1% 5.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.7%
Alexandra Talbot 4.7% 4.0% 4.5% 4.4% 4.5% 5.3% 7.0% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 11.1% 13.5% 10.3% 7.4%
Adeline Schoen 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 3.7% 3.0% 4.3% 5.0% 5.8% 6.9% 9.2% 12.8% 16.7% 22.9%
Megan Grimes 9.6% 10.8% 9.3% 8.8% 8.9% 10.7% 8.1% 8.4% 8.1% 7.2% 5.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
Kaila Pfrang 9.1% 8.1% 7.8% 10.0% 9.4% 8.2% 10.3% 9.0% 8.9% 7.1% 5.4% 3.6% 2.5% 0.5%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 2.5% 3.3% 4.7% 5.1% 7.3% 8.3% 11.9% 17.7% 28.7%
Lucy Paskoff 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 2.9% 2.6% 3.5% 5.0% 4.9% 6.3% 9.0% 10.2% 12.9% 16.0% 18.9%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.4% 3.5% 5.3% 5.5% 5.3% 6.5% 6.8% 6.6% 8.5% 10.3% 10.3% 11.0% 10.7% 6.2%
Emma Snead 5.9% 5.9% 5.8% 7.4% 7.0% 6.8% 7.7% 7.8% 9.8% 9.7% 10.1% 7.6% 5.7% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.