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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+3.14vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.59+1.41vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.76+2.15vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.06+0.46vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.97-0.39vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08-1.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-0.67vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.52-2.48vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.51+0.56vs Predicted
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11Sacred Heart University-0.95-0.82vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-1.20-1.40vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.53-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.2%1st Place
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3.41Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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5.15Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.46Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.61Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.44Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.56McGill University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.18Sacred Heart University-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.6Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.61University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Frost | 15.1% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 21.0% | 21.2% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 10.4% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dragon | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Pfosi | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Erwes | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 19.1% | 25.5% | 22.6% | 13.4% |
| Katherine Horne | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 11.0% | 20.1% | 27.1% | 28.6% |
| Earl Lin | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 8.5% | 16.2% | 22.9% | 42.7% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 18.4% | 24.6% | 24.1% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.