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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.70+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.57+1.70vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.45+2.35vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.24-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois1.60-1.67vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.12+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.99-2.60vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.04-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of Wisconsin1.7019.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Michigan1.5717.2%1st Place
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5.35Northwestern University0.456.6%1st Place
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3.88University of Notre Dame1.2415.3%1st Place
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3.33University of Illinois1.6021.9%1st Place
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6.41Marquette University-0.123.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Saint Thomas0.9911.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Minnesota0.045.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 19.1% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 17.2% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 19.6% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 15.3% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 21.9% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 42.2% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 6.8% |
| Clara Brown | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 22.1% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.