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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.57+1.83vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.70+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.99+0.36vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.45+0.47vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.24-2.16vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.04-1.46vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.12-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of Illinois1.6021.5%1st Place
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3.83University of Michigan1.5716.9%1st Place
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3.37University of Wisconsin1.7019.5%1st Place
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4.36University of Saint Thomas0.9911.3%1st Place
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5.47Northwestern University0.455.3%1st Place
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3.84University of Notre Dame1.2415.4%1st Place
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5.54University of Minnesota0.046.4%1st Place
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6.31Marquette University-0.123.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 21.5% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 16.9% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Samuel Bartel | 19.5% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 5.5% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 21.2% | 20.4% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 15.4% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Clara Brown | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 21.6% | 22.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.