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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.80+1.80vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.14+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.25+5.67vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.27+1.71vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.38-1.46vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.03+2.29vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.31-3.41vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.92-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.31-3.55vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.51-0.88vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.70-1.41vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-1.82-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Eckerd College2.800.3%1st Place
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3.89Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
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8.67University of South Florida-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.71Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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3.54Jacksonville University2.380.2%1st Place
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8.29University of Miami-0.030.0%1st Place
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3.59University of South Florida2.310.2%1st Place
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6.3Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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5.45University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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9.12Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
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9.59Eckerd College-0.700.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason D'Agostino | 28.0% | 23.2% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 14.3% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Youngerman | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 6.5% |
| Ian Nora | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 18.8% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Ranney | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 19.9% | 13.0% | 3.9% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 18.5% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Sara Simon | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 20.7% | 21.7% | 10.4% |
| Sam Cooke | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 27.2% | 16.4% |
| Morgan Walker | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 16.6% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.