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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.70+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.60+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.24+0.84vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.45+1.53vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.99-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.04-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.57-3.17vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.12-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of Wisconsin1.7020.8%1st Place
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3.27University of Illinois1.6020.4%1st Place
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3.84University of Notre Dame1.2415.4%1st Place
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5.53Northwestern University0.456.5%1st Place
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4.44University of Saint Thomas0.9910.9%1st Place
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5.46University of Minnesota0.046.6%1st Place
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3.83University of Michigan1.5715.4%1st Place
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6.28Marquette University-0.124.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 20.8% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 20.4% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 15.4% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 21.2% | 21.4% |
| Rachel Bartel | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 7.3% |
| Clara Brown | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 20.6% | 20.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 15.4% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.