← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rollins College1.27+4.71vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.80+0.76vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida2.31+0.62vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University2.38-0.57vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.31+0.59vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.14-2.05vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami-0.03+1.21vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College-0.70+0.46vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University0.92-3.67vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida-0.25-3.36vs Predicted
-
13University of Florida-1.82-1.94vs Predicted
-
14Embry-Riddle University-0.51-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.71Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
-
2.76Eckerd College2.800.3%1st Place
-
3.62University of South Florida2.310.2%1st Place
-
3.43Jacksonville University2.380.2%1st Place
-
5.59University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
-
3.95Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
-
8.21University of Miami-0.030.0%1st Place
-
9.46Eckerd College-0.700.0%1st Place
-
6.33Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.64University of South Florida-0.250.0%1st Place
-
11.06University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
-
9.24Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Nora | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 27.3% | 26.0% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 17.6% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 17.9% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Seth Barrows | 15.3% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Ranney | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 4.6% |
| Sam Cooke | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 29.7% | 14.2% |
| Alex Steo | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Youngerman | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 21.1% | 16.1% | 6.9% |
| Morgan Walker | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 63.5% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 20.7% | 24.1% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.