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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.70+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.57+1.83vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.45+2.42vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.04+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.24-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois1.60-2.68vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.99-2.72vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.12-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of Wisconsin1.7020.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Michigan1.5716.4%1st Place
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5.42Northwestern University0.456.8%1st Place
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5.59University of Minnesota0.045.4%1st Place
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3.83University of Notre Dame1.2414.2%1st Place
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3.32University of Illinois1.6021.3%1st Place
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4.28University of Saint Thomas0.9912.1%1st Place
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6.36Marquette University-0.123.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 20.1% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 16.4% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 20.2% |
| Clara Brown | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 23.3% | 20.2% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 14.2% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 21.3% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Bartel | 12.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 6.3% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 18.7% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.