← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.80+1.82vs Predicted
-
2Rollins College1.27+3.63vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.38+0.47vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College2.14-0.11vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida2.31-1.44vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University0.92+0.37vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.31-1.53vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College-0.70+1.47vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida-0.25-1.34vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-0.51-1.87vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami-0.03-3.54vs Predicted
-
14University of Florida-1.82-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.82Eckerd College2.800.3%1st Place
-
5.63Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
-
3.47Jacksonville University2.380.2%1st Place
-
3.89Eckerd College2.140.1%1st Place
-
3.56University of South Florida2.310.2%1st Place
-
6.37Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
-
5.47University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
-
9.47Eckerd College-0.700.0%1st Place
-
8.66University of South Florida-0.250.0%1st Place
-
9.13Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
8.46University of Miami-0.030.0%1st Place
-
11.07University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason D'Agostino | 27.6% | 23.0% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 19.6% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 13.6% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 17.2% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sara Simon | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Cooke | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 27.7% | 15.3% |
| Lauren Youngerman | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 5.6% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 23.2% | 22.8% | 9.8% |
| Sarah Ranney | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 14.0% | 5.5% |
| Morgan Walker | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.