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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.88+0.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+1.07vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-0.91+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.85+0.05vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.92+0.76vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-0.61vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-2.57-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Virginia Tech0.8849.5%1st Place
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3.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1516.8%1st Place
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4.23Penn State University-0.917.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Maryland-0.858.8%1st Place
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5.76Catholic University of America-1.923.5%1st Place
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3.97American University-0.8610.5%1st Place
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6.39University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.362.5%1st Place
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6.64William and Mary-2.571.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Riecker | 49.5% | 26.4% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 16.8% | 25.1% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Erich Laughlin | 7.2% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 8.8% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Christian Aron | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 22.2% | 24.9% | 17.8% |
| Hannah Arey | 10.5% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 18.6% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Grace Hartman | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 26.6% | 34.1% |
| Kinsey Gore | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 25.6% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.