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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.14+2.98vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.38+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.31+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.03+4.31vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.92+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.31-3.42vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.80-5.31vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.70+0.47vs Predicted
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10Rollins College1.27-4.44vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.51-1.89vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-0.25-3.15vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.82-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Eckerd College2.140.2%1st Place
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3.46Jacksonville University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.52University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Miami-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.41Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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3.58University of South Florida2.310.2%1st Place
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2.69Eckerd College2.800.3%1st Place
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9.47Eckerd College-0.700.0%1st Place
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5.56Rollins College1.270.0%1st Place
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9.11Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.85University of South Florida-0.250.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Barrows | 15.2% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 18.0% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Ranney | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 3.4% |
| Alex Steo | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 17.0% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 30.4% | 24.2% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Cooke | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 26.1% | 14.9% |
| Ian Nora | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 22.5% | 21.4% | 10.2% |
| Lauren Youngerman | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 18.8% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 6.9% |
| Morgan Walker | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 15.3% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.