← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.70+2.32vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University0.45+3.42vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan1.57+0.83vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois1.60-0.70vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame1.24-1.16vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University-0.12+0.30vs Predicted
-
7University of Saint Thomas0.99-2.60vs Predicted
-
8University of Minnesota0.04-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32University of Wisconsin1.7020.8%1st Place
-
5.42Northwestern University0.456.6%1st Place
-
3.83University of Michigan1.5715.2%1st Place
-
3.3University of Illinois1.6022.1%1st Place
-
3.84University of Notre Dame1.2416.1%1st Place
-
6.3Marquette University-0.123.4%1st Place
-
4.4University of Saint Thomas0.9910.8%1st Place
-
5.58University of Minnesota0.045.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 20.8% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 20.3% | 20.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 15.2% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 22.1% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 16.1% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 40.9% |
| Rachel Bartel | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 7.1% |
| Clara Brown | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 21.8% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.