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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.70+2.32vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.45+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.57+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.99+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.24-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois1.60-2.75vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.12-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.04-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of Wisconsin1.7020.5%1st Place
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5.36Northwestern University0.457.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Michigan1.5714.3%1st Place
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4.46University of Saint Thomas0.9911.0%1st Place
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3.83University of Notre Dame1.2416.7%1st Place
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3.25University of Illinois1.6020.8%1st Place
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6.29Marquette University-0.123.4%1st Place
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5.55University of Minnesota0.046.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 20.5% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 18.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 14.3% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 6.9% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 16.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 20.8% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 43.0% |
| Clara Brown | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.