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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College1.27+4.65vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.31+1.55vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.80-0.28vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.38-0.55vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.31+0.52vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.25+2.70vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.92-0.73vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.51+1.10vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.85-4.70vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.03-2.82vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.70-2.45vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-1.82-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
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3.55University of South Florida2.310.2%1st Place
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2.72Eckerd College2.800.3%1st Place
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3.45Jacksonville University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.52University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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8.7University of South Florida-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.27Jacksonville University0.920.0%1st Place
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9.1Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.3Eckerd College1.850.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Miami-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.55Eckerd College-0.700.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Nora | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 17.8% | 19.0% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 30.7% | 22.6% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 17.7% | 20.6% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Youngerman | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 21.4% | 17.1% | 6.6% |
| Alex Steo | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 20.8% | 22.8% | 10.3% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 11.4% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Ranney | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 4.1% |
| Sam Cooke | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 28.0% | 16.2% |
| Morgan Walker | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 62.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.