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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+2.47vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.31+3.55vs Predicted
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3Rollins College1.27+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.31-0.47vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.85-0.62vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.80-3.28vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.92-0.79vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.51+1.11vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.25-0.32vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.03-2.82vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.82-0.92vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College-0.70-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Jacksonville University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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5.55Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
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3.53University of South Florida2.310.2%1st Place
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4.38Eckerd College1.850.1%1st Place
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2.72Eckerd College2.800.3%1st Place
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6.21Jacksonville University0.920.1%1st Place
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9.11Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.68University of South Florida-0.250.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Miami-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
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9.53Eckerd College-0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 17.8% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 5.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 18.2% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 11.1% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 29.7% | 23.8% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Clarke | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 19.9% | 23.2% | 10.8% |
| Lauren Youngerman | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 21.6% | 16.1% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Ranney | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 11.7% | 4.2% |
| Morgan Walker | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 65.1% |
| Sam Cooke | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 30.8% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.