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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.70+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.57+1.77vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.12+3.35vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.45+1.41vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.24-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois1.60-2.73vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.99-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.04-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Wisconsin1.7019.8%1st Place
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3.77University of Michigan1.5715.4%1st Place
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6.35Marquette University-0.123.1%1st Place
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5.41Northwestern University0.455.8%1st Place
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3.92University of Notre Dame1.2415.3%1st Place
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3.27University of Illinois1.6022.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Saint Thomas0.9911.8%1st Place
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5.52University of Minnesota0.046.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 19.8% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 15.4% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 42.6% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 21.2% | 18.9% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 15.3% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 22.1% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 6.2% |
| Clara Brown | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.