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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+2.43vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.31+3.48vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.80-0.28vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.27+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.03+3.29vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.31-2.48vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.92-0.76vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.85-3.65vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-0.25-1.35vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.51-1.90vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College-0.70-3.43vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-1.82-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Jacksonville University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.48University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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2.72Eckerd College2.800.3%1st Place
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5.58Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Miami-0.030.0%1st Place
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3.52University of South Florida2.310.2%1st Place
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6.24Jacksonville University0.920.1%1st Place
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4.35Eckerd College1.850.1%1st Place
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8.65University of South Florida-0.250.0%1st Place
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9.1Embry-Riddle University-0.510.0%1st Place
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9.57Eckerd College-0.700.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Florida-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 18.5% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 5.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 29.5% | 22.8% | 19.8% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Nora | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Ranney | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 5.2% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 18.7% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Steo | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Youngerman | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 5.0% |
| Ryan Clarke | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 21.8% | 23.2% | 9.8% |
| Sam Cooke | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 25.0% | 16.9% |
| Morgan Walker | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 16.6% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.