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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.70+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.60+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.99+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.57-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.24-1.04vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.45-0.60vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.04-1.49vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.12-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of Wisconsin1.7019.9%1st Place
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3.28University of Illinois1.6020.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Saint Thomas0.9911.5%1st Place
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3.73University of Michigan1.5717.6%1st Place
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3.96University of Notre Dame1.2414.1%1st Place
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5.4Northwestern University0.456.8%1st Place
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5.51University of Minnesota0.046.5%1st Place
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6.31Marquette University-0.123.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Bartel | 19.9% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 20.1% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 6.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 17.6% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 14.1% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 19.4% |
| Clara Brown | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 22.1% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 19.2% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.