Race 1B

saisa-south-points-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Benjamin Chafee 16.4% 13.5% 16.2% 15.1% 11.9% 10.7% 7.8% 4.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 11.8% 14.2% 14.1% 13.6% 12.2% 11.6% 10.0% 6.8% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Erik Brydges 17.8% 16.8% 16.5% 12.7% 12.8% 12.2% 5.6% 3.4% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Hostetter 3.9% 5.4% 5.1% 6.7% 9.5% 12.0% 12.1% 14.6% 13.4% 10.6% 5.7% 1.0%
Ian Ikeda 25.6% 22.7% 15.5% 13.4% 9.7% 5.1% 4.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Diliberto 3.1% 3.5% 4.5% 5.2% 5.7% 6.4% 11.0% 11.7% 17.7% 18.7% 9.5% 3.0%
Kristen Walker 6.2% 7.3% 6.4% 8.1% 11.6% 10.8% 11.5% 13.9% 11.2% 9.2% 2.8% 1.0%
William Layne 6.3% 5.1% 9.3% 7.7% 9.5% 10.3% 12.5% 15.1% 11.5% 8.5% 3.2% 1.0%
Dean Nixon 6.4% 7.8% 9.2% 11.6% 11.0% 12.7% 13.6% 11.7% 9.7% 4.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Cooper Smith 0.8% 1.5% 1.7% 2.8% 2.0% 2.8% 4.1% 6.0% 10.1% 18.4% 31.3% 18.5%
Bernardo Pineda 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 2.4% 3.1% 4.2% 5.5% 7.4% 12.1% 20.8% 26.1% 14.4%
Daniel Royer 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 4.6% 6.5% 19.3% 61.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.