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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.60+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.99+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.57+0.83vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.24-0.13vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.45+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois1.60-2.63vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.04-1.48vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.12-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of Wisconsin1.6022.3%1st Place
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4.47University of Saint Thomas0.9910.2%1st Place
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3.83University of Michigan1.5715.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Notre Dame1.2414.9%1st Place
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5.41Northwestern University0.456.8%1st Place
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3.37University of Illinois1.6021.6%1st Place
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5.52University of Minnesota0.045.7%1st Place
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6.32Marquette University-0.123.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 22.3% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Bartel | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 6.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 15.2% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 14.9% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 19.3% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 21.6% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Clara Brown | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 20.5% | 22.4% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 19.6% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.