Race 2B

saisa-south-points-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Erik Brydges 17.9% 16.0% 16.3% 15.3% 10.9% 10.3% 6.3% 4.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 24.4% 24.1% 16.3% 13.7% 8.5% 6.7% 3.3% 2.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Chafee 16.6% 15.0% 16.8% 10.7% 14.9% 11.5% 6.9% 5.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Dean Nixon 5.6% 6.9% 9.3% 10.6% 11.4% 10.7% 14.3% 12.4% 9.0% 7.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Megan Hostetter 4.8% 5.0% 5.6% 7.7% 9.5% 10.6% 12.2% 12.8% 14.7% 10.4% 5.7% 1.0%
Peter Hidley 12.5% 14.3% 13.3% 12.5% 12.6% 13.7% 8.0% 7.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Dylan Diliberto 3.1% 4.4% 3.0% 5.7% 7.0% 6.7% 10.4% 12.4% 16.2% 17.7% 10.0% 3.4%
Kristen Walker 6.9% 5.8% 8.2% 8.5% 9.2% 10.6% 12.0% 14.8% 12.1% 7.4% 3.6% 0.9%
William Layne 5.0% 5.5% 8.1% 8.6% 10.7% 11.4% 14.2% 13.0% 12.9% 8.1% 2.3% 0.2%
Cooper Smith 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 3.3% 2.3% 2.3% 4.4% 6.4% 10.6% 17.4% 30.9% 18.5%
Bernardo Pineda 1.7% 1.4% 0.9% 2.8% 2.1% 4.3% 5.7% 6.6% 12.7% 21.5% 26.1% 14.2%
Daniel Royer 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 3.5% 7.4% 19.1% 61.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.