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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.60+2.17vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.45+3.38vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.57+0.87vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.99+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois1.60-1.68vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.12+0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame1.24-3.09vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.04-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of Wisconsin1.6021.4%1st Place
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5.38Northwestern University0.456.5%1st Place
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3.87University of Michigan1.5715.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Saint Thomas0.9910.8%1st Place
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3.32University of Illinois1.6020.8%1st Place
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6.33Marquette University-0.123.8%1st Place
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3.91University of Notre Dame1.2415.5%1st Place
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5.64University of Minnesota0.046.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 21.4% | 21.0% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 18.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 15.1% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Rachel Bartel | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 6.1% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 20.8% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 19.5% | 41.5% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 15.5% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Clara Brown | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 21.8% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.