Race 3B

saisa-south-points-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Hidley 12.5% 12.5% 12.6% 14.5% 13.5% 12.6% 9.6% 6.0% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Ian Ikeda 24.1% 22.9% 17.1% 12.4% 10.3% 7.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erik Brydges 18.7% 17.7% 15.0% 11.9% 15.0% 9.0% 7.5% 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Chafee 14.2% 19.1% 15.0% 15.8% 11.7% 8.9% 6.9% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
William Layne 5.7% 5.0% 7.2% 8.6% 9.6% 11.8% 12.7% 13.0% 12.2% 9.6% 4.2% 0.4%
Kristen Walker 5.5% 5.2% 8.5% 7.8% 9.4% 11.2% 13.0% 13.5% 12.9% 8.6% 4.4% 0.0%
Bernardo Pineda 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 3.1% 2.7% 4.3% 5.7% 8.7% 12.9% 19.9% 25.3% 11.8%
Dean Nixon 8.3% 6.8% 9.0% 11.2% 9.9% 12.0% 11.3% 13.3% 9.4% 6.1% 2.6% 0.1%
Dylan Diliberto 2.8% 2.4% 4.4% 4.8% 7.0% 8.8% 11.9% 13.1% 16.8% 16.4% 9.7% 1.9%
Megan Hostetter 4.8% 5.2% 6.8% 7.5% 8.5% 9.5% 13.0% 13.9% 13.8% 11.6% 4.2% 1.2%
Cooper Smith 1.7% 0.6% 1.5% 1.8% 1.6% 3.2% 3.5% 6.7% 9.4% 18.2% 30.2% 21.6%
Daniel Royer 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 3.9% 6.5% 18.6% 62.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.