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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.60+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.57+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.60+0.30vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.45+1.47vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.99-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.24-2.11vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.04-1.48vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.12-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Wisconsin1.6021.8%1st Place
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3.89University of Michigan1.5714.6%1st Place
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3.3University of Illinois1.6020.9%1st Place
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5.47Northwestern University0.456.9%1st Place
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4.38University of Saint Thomas0.9911.2%1st Place
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3.89University of Notre Dame1.2415.4%1st Place
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5.52University of Minnesota0.046.1%1st Place
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6.33Marquette University-0.123.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 21.8% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 20.9% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 20.7% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 15.4% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Clara Brown | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 22.4% | 21.1% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 19.9% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.