Race 4B

saisa-south-points-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Erik Brydges 17.5% 15.5% 15.9% 17.1% 11.8% 10.0% 5.7% 3.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 11.9% 13.5% 14.9% 13.0% 13.6% 11.3% 9.5% 7.2% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Benjamin Chafee 16.0% 15.8% 16.8% 12.2% 14.4% 11.4% 7.3% 3.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Kristen Walker 4.7% 6.0% 7.0% 9.0% 10.4% 12.5% 12.4% 13.0% 12.2% 8.7% 3.5% 0.6%
Ian Ikeda 25.7% 22.7% 16.3% 14.1% 7.5% 6.4% 3.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Hostetter 4.5% 5.8% 6.7% 5.8% 8.1% 10.1% 13.7% 15.3% 13.1% 10.6% 5.2% 1.1%
William Layne 6.2% 6.8% 7.4% 7.5% 11.3% 10.1% 11.8% 13.8% 12.7% 8.1% 3.6% 0.7%
Dean Nixon 8.0% 7.7% 8.8% 9.8% 11.2% 11.6% 13.1% 11.7% 10.3% 4.9% 2.4% 0.5%
Bernardo Pineda 1.5% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 3.1% 4.0% 6.7% 9.1% 11.2% 21.9% 26.5% 11.0%
Daniel Royer 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 1.2% 0.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.3% 3.3% 8.2% 16.2% 62.5%
Dylan Diliberto 3.1% 2.7% 3.0% 5.9% 5.4% 7.5% 10.7% 12.2% 16.6% 18.8% 10.5% 3.6%
Cooper Smith 0.7% 1.8% 1.2% 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 3.1% 6.1% 11.8% 16.1% 31.7% 20.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.