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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.57+1.77vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.12+3.32vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.60-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.24-1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.99-1.52vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.45-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.04-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Illinois1.6020.4%1st Place
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3.77University of Michigan1.5715.0%1st Place
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6.32Marquette University-0.123.9%1st Place
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3.18University of Wisconsin1.6022.9%1st Place
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3.96University of Notre Dame1.2414.0%1st Place
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4.48University of Saint Thomas0.9911.0%1st Place
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5.49Northwestern University0.456.5%1st Place
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5.47University of Minnesota0.046.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 20.4% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 15.0% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 42.2% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 22.9% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 14.0% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 7.1% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 21.1% | 21.6% |
| Clara Brown | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 21.2% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.