Race 5B

saisa-south-points-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Colleen Hartman 18.6% 18.8% 16.4% 17.0% 10.6% 9.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Erik Brydges 13.6% 16.1% 14.1% 14.2% 13.0% 11.2% 8.7% 5.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 12.2% 9.1% 13.3% 11.5% 12.4% 13.1% 13.1% 8.1% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 20.4% 19.7% 15.5% 14.1% 12.7% 8.2% 4.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Chafee 13.3% 13.2% 15.0% 14.0% 13.0% 12.2% 7.9% 6.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Dean Nixon 5.9% 6.6% 6.2% 8.7% 9.9% 12.2% 14.7% 14.3% 11.6% 7.4% 2.2% 0.3%
Dylan Diliberto 2.6% 4.4% 2.9% 4.0% 5.6% 6.6% 10.7% 12.4% 18.1% 18.2% 10.7% 3.8%
William Layne 5.3% 4.4% 6.8% 6.6% 9.1% 9.5% 13.2% 15.4% 15.6% 9.9% 3.5% 0.7%
Cooper Smith 1.3% 0.6% 1.3% 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 4.3% 6.1% 11.6% 19.9% 32.8% 17.0%
Kristen Walker 5.0% 5.5% 6.1% 7.5% 8.1% 10.9% 12.3% 15.3% 13.9% 10.5% 4.1% 0.8%
Bernardo Pineda 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.1% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 7.2% 12.0% 23.3% 26.2% 15.2%
Daniel Royer 0.3% 0.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 3.9% 6.7% 19.6% 62.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.