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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.02+1.54vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.89+2.19vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.99+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.70+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.06-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.88-1.31vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.32-1.95vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.57-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Wisconsin2.0234.2%1st Place
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4.19Northwestern University0.8911.8%1st Place
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3.86University of Notre Dame0.9914.8%1st Place
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4.23University of Illinois0.7011.7%1st Place
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4.03University of Michigan1.0612.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Saint Thomas0.888.0%1st Place
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5.05Marquette University0.326.6%1st Place
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7.42University of Minnesota-1.571.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 34.2% | 22.6% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.8% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 2.3% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Michael Rivkin | 11.7% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 3.5% |
| Sherman Thompson | 12.0% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 2.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 4.9% |
| Brittany Shabino | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 25.5% | 7.0% |
| John Cayen | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.