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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.02+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.06+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.99+0.85vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.89+0.20vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.320.00vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.70-1.66vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.88-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.57-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Wisconsin2.0233.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Michigan1.0613.8%1st Place
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3.85University of Notre Dame0.9915.5%1st Place
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4.2Northwestern University0.8911.8%1st Place
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5.0Marquette University0.327.4%1st Place
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4.34University of Illinois0.709.6%1st Place
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4.78University of Saint Thomas0.887.6%1st Place
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7.41University of Minnesota-1.571.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 33.1% | 24.2% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 2.3% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 15.5% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 3.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 24.4% | 6.5% |
| Michael Rivkin | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 3.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 20.5% | 5.3% |
| John Cayen | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.