Race 6B

saisa-south-points-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Erik Brydges 14.4% 12.9% 16.8% 12.5% 12.8% 13.8% 8.7% 4.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Layne 3.5% 5.2% 6.7% 6.8% 9.6% 10.4% 12.4% 15.4% 17.0% 9.4% 3.0% 0.6%
Ian Ikeda 21.2% 19.8% 14.9% 14.5% 11.7% 8.5% 5.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Colleen Hartman 19.8% 21.8% 14.8% 15.5% 9.9% 8.8% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Kristen Walker 3.8% 5.4% 6.4% 7.4% 8.2% 10.2% 12.7% 14.6% 15.1% 10.7% 5.0% 0.5%
Bernardo Pineda 1.5% 0.7% 1.2% 2.7% 3.3% 2.8% 5.5% 7.4% 11.3% 22.9% 27.7% 13.0%
Dean Nixon 6.6% 5.5% 8.5% 8.6% 11.1% 11.5% 12.2% 14.2% 11.6% 7.3% 2.5% 0.4%
Peter Hidley 11.9% 11.2% 12.7% 11.1% 12.7% 12.4% 11.0% 9.6% 4.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Dylan Diliberto 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 3.9% 6.1% 7.4% 11.7% 14.6% 18.9% 17.2% 11.1% 1.7%
Benjamin Chafee 13.4% 13.8% 14.1% 14.9% 12.1% 10.8% 9.1% 7.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Cooper Smith 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 3.1% 6.2% 10.0% 19.4% 31.6% 21.0%
Daniel Royer 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 2.3% 1.6% 3.9% 7.8% 18.2% 62.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.