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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.88+0.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+1.10vs Predicted
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3American University-0.86+0.94vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.91+0.26vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.92+0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.85-1.95vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-0.58vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-2.57-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Virginia Tech0.8847.8%1st Place
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3.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1517.8%1st Place
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3.94American University-0.8610.4%1st Place
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4.26Penn State University-0.918.1%1st Place
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5.73Catholic University of America-1.923.0%1st Place
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4.05University of Maryland-0.859.5%1st Place
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6.42University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.361.6%1st Place
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6.64William and Mary-2.571.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Riecker | 47.8% | 30.1% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 17.8% | 21.9% | 22.8% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Arey | 10.4% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Erich Laughlin | 8.1% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Christian Aron | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 25.9% | 17.1% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 9.5% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Grace Hartman | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 26.6% | 33.7% |
| Kinsey Gore | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 13.8% | 24.4% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.