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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.02+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.06+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.70+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.99-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.88-0.37vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.89-1.77vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.32-2.02vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.57-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Wisconsin2.0232.2%1st Place
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4.01University of Michigan1.0613.5%1st Place
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4.29University of Illinois0.7010.8%1st Place
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3.86University of Notre Dame0.9913.8%1st Place
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4.63University of Saint Thomas0.889.3%1st Place
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4.23Northwestern University0.8911.7%1st Place
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4.98Marquette University0.327.8%1st Place
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7.44University of Minnesota-1.570.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 32.2% | 25.7% | 17.2% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 13.5% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 2.6% |
| Michael Rivkin | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 3.0% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 13.8% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Greg Bittle | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 19.6% | 4.2% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 2.6% |
| Brittany Shabino | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 24.8% | 6.2% |
| John Cayen | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 8.0% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.