Race 7B

saisa-south-points-6

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Colleen Hartman 20.1% 16.3% 17.5% 15.4% 13.6% 6.5% 6.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Ikeda 21.7% 19.5% 16.2% 14.1% 9.5% 9.5% 5.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Chafee 14.5% 12.0% 14.0% 13.8% 12.9% 11.5% 10.8% 6.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kristen Walker 3.4% 5.4% 4.9% 7.7% 10.1% 10.7% 12.9% 16.9% 13.5% 9.7% 4.2% 0.6%
Erik Brydges 14.5% 15.7% 14.6% 13.4% 12.0% 11.8% 7.8% 5.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dean Nixon 6.0% 6.2% 6.8% 7.7% 10.4% 11.4% 16.0% 12.3% 12.5% 7.6% 2.7% 0.4%
William Layne 4.4% 5.8% 6.1% 7.5% 8.2% 10.5% 11.9% 15.0% 16.2% 9.4% 3.9% 1.1%
Dylan Diliberto 3.1% 2.9% 3.5% 4.3% 5.1% 6.9% 9.5% 13.2% 18.0% 18.8% 11.7% 3.0%
Peter Hidley 9.6% 13.2% 13.2% 11.8% 13.6% 14.5% 9.5% 8.3% 4.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Bernardo Pineda 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 3.1% 5.6% 7.9% 13.1% 23.0% 25.6% 12.2%
Cooper Smith 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 2.6% 3.2% 6.6% 9.4% 19.3% 31.9% 21.3%
Daniel Royer 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 2.0% 4.2% 8.1% 19.5% 61.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.