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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.02+1.53vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.89+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.06+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.70+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.99-1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.88-1.34vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.32-2.00vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.57-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Wisconsin2.0232.6%1st Place
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4.14Northwestern University0.8911.8%1st Place
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4.01University of Michigan1.0612.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Illinois0.7011.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Notre Dame0.9914.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Saint Thomas0.889.2%1st Place
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5.0Marquette University0.328.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Minnesota-1.571.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 32.6% | 24.8% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.8% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 2.5% |
| Sherman Thompson | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% |
| Michael Rivkin | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 3.8% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 14.0% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 1.7% |
| Greg Bittle | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 4.7% |
| Brittany Shabino | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 26.0% | 6.8% |
| John Cayen | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.