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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.06+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.02+0.52vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.32+1.97vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.89+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.88-0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.99-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.57+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois0.70-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of Michigan1.0614.8%1st Place
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2.52University of Wisconsin2.0232.6%1st Place
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4.97Marquette University0.327.1%1st Place
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4.28Northwestern University0.8911.3%1st Place
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4.62University of Saint Thomas0.888.9%1st Place
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3.98University of Notre Dame0.9911.8%1st Place
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7.45University of Minnesota-1.571.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Illinois0.7012.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 14.8% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 2.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 32.6% | 25.7% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 21.8% | 7.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 2.9% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 4.5% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 11.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 1.8% |
| John Cayen | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 78.8% |
| Michael Rivkin | 12.3% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.