← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.79+7.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii3.68+3.16vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+8.72vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University1.16+12.58vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+1.96vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.63-0.83vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.92+0.77vs Predicted
-
8Santa Clara University2.22+2.84vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California2.64-0.10vs Predicted
-
10California State University Monterey Bay1.63+4.12vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine1.35+4.42vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego1.81+1.46vs Predicted
-
13University of Southern California1.52+1.82vs Predicted
-
14University of Southern California2.93-6.19vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-3.14vs Predicted
-
16Oregon State University1.52-1.16vs Predicted
-
17California State University Channel Islands0.37+3.26vs Predicted
-
18University of Hawaii3.04-10.60vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Berkeley1.32-3.24vs Predicted
-
20University of Oregon0.76-1.80vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Davis0.45-0.89vs Predicted
-
22Western Washington University0.90-4.18vs Predicted
-
23University of British Columbia0.19-1.99vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Los Angeles0.52-4.64vs Predicted
-
25University of Oregon0.46-5.01vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-8.84vs Predicted
-
27California State University Monterey Bay1.63-12.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.52University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
-
5.16University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
-
11.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
-
16.58Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
-
6.96California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
-
5.17Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.77Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
10.84Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
-
8.9University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
14.12California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
-
15.42University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
13.46University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
-
14.82University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.81University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
-
14.84Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
-
20.26California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
7.4University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
15.76University of California at Berkeley1.320.0%1st Place
-
18.2University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
-
20.11University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
-
17.82Western Washington University0.900.0%1st Place
-
21.01University of British Columbia0.190.0%1st Place
-
19.36University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
19.99University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
-
17.16University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
-
14.12California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 14.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Tore Horn | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Darling | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Pilegard | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.