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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.02+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.06+1.87vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.89+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.99-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.70-0.69vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.32-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas0.88-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.57-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Wisconsin2.0234.1%1st Place
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3.87University of Michigan1.0614.6%1st Place
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4.22Northwestern University0.8910.8%1st Place
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3.92University of Notre Dame0.9914.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Illinois0.7010.3%1st Place
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5.09Marquette University0.326.5%1st Place
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4.64University of Saint Thomas0.888.8%1st Place
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7.46University of Minnesota-1.571.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christian Spencer | 34.1% | 24.2% | 18.2% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Sherman Thompson | 14.6% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 1.6% |
Thomas Quinn | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 2.2% |
Joseph Gallagher | 14.0% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 1.7% |
Michael Rivkin | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 2.6% |
Brittany Shabino | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 24.8% | 7.6% |
Greg Bittle | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 4.7% |
John Cayen | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 8.6% | 79.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.