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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay1.63+13.27vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University2.22+9.26vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.93+4.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+7.58vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+1.95vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii3.68-0.96vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.63-1.92vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.64+0.84vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.79-0.74vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay1.63+4.27vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.95vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon0.76+6.35vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.16+3.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+2.80vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.90+2.92vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.92-8.13vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California1.52-2.17vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii3.04-10.62vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis0.45+0.81vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine1.35-4.42vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley1.32-5.55vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon0.46-2.01vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego1.81-9.72vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.80vs Predicted
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25Oregon State University1.52-10.58vs Predicted
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26University of British Columbia0.19-4.94vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles0.52-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.27California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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11.26Santa Clara University2.220.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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6.95California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Hawaii3.680.1%1st Place
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5.08Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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14.27California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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11.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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18.35University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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16.83Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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16.8University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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17.92Western Washington University0.900.0%1st Place
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7.87Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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14.83University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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19.81University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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15.58University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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15.45University of California at Berkeley1.320.0%1st Place
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19.99University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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13.28University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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20.2California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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14.42Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
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21.06University of British Columbia0.190.0%1st Place
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20.02University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Hurdle | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 13.8% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 14.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jan Tore Horn | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Darling | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Pilegard | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.