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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.06+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.02+0.51vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.99+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.70+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.88-0.30vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.89-1.88vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.32-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.57-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96University of Michigan1.0613.2%1st Place
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2.51University of Wisconsin2.0232.6%1st Place
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3.95University of Notre Dame0.9913.4%1st Place
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4.29University of Illinois0.7010.8%1st Place
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4.7University of Saint Thomas0.889.2%1st Place
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4.12Northwestern University0.8912.7%1st Place
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5.04Marquette University0.327.3%1st Place
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7.43University of Minnesota-1.570.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 2.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 32.6% | 25.3% | 18.8% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 13.4% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 1.9% |
| Michael Rivkin | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 3.2% |
| Greg Bittle | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 4.8% |
| Thomas Quinn | 12.7% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 3.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 25.4% | 6.2% |
| John Cayen | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 78.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.