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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.68+3.91vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.79+6.44vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+4.02vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.64+4.78vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.63-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.93+1.61vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+0.56vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.52+6.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.81+3.82vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay1.63+3.86vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.44vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.32+3.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+3.50vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University1.01+3.19vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.37+5.07vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.16+0.41vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii3.04-9.86vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay1.63-4.14vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.36vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine1.35-4.68vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis0.45-1.68vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon0.46-2.13vs Predicted
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23University of Oregon0.76-4.73vs Predicted
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24Oregon State University1.52-9.62vs Predicted
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25Western Washington University0.90-7.68vs Predicted
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26University of British Columbia0.19-5.09vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-15.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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8.44University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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7.02California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.93Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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7.61University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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7.56Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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14.17University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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12.82University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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13.86California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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11.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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15.75University of California at Berkeley1.320.0%1st Place
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16.5University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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17.19Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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20.07California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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16.41Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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13.86California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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19.36University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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15.32University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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19.32University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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19.87University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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18.27University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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14.38Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
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17.32Western Washington University0.900.0%1st Place
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20.91University of British Columbia0.190.0%1st Place
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11.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pokras | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 16.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jan Tore Horn | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Shadden | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Pilegard | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Darling | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.