← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.02+1.56vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University0.89+2.23vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame0.99+0.89vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois0.70+0.22vs Predicted
-
5University of Saint Thomas0.88-0.31vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan1.06-2.09vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University0.32-1.93vs Predicted
-
8University of Minnesota-1.57-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.56University of Wisconsin2.0232.9%1st Place
-
4.23Northwestern University0.8910.7%1st Place
-
3.89University of Notre Dame0.9913.2%1st Place
-
4.22University of Illinois0.7011.9%1st Place
-
4.69University of Saint Thomas0.888.8%1st Place
-
3.91University of Michigan1.0614.6%1st Place
-
5.07Marquette University0.326.9%1st Place
-
7.45University of Minnesota-1.570.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christian Spencer | 32.9% | 23.8% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Thomas Quinn | 10.7% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 3.2% |
Joseph Gallagher | 13.2% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 1.1% |
Michael Rivkin | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 2.7% |
Greg Bittle | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 4.2% |
Sherman Thompson | 14.6% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 1.6% |
Brittany Shabino | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 24.8% | 7.5% |
John Cayen | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.