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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+7.31vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.68+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+8.38vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+2.91vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.63+8.61vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.93+1.66vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+0.60vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.63-3.17vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.04-2.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.45+9.59vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay1.63+2.61vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University1.01+4.88vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37+7.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.32+1.57vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.16+1.36vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California1.52-1.53vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California2.64-8.07vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego1.81-5.02vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-7.31vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-3.53vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.93vs Predicted
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22University of British Columbia0.19-1.07vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine1.35-7.67vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon0.46-4.39vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon0.76-6.99vs Predicted
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26Oregon State University1.52-11.44vs Predicted
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27Western Washington University0.90-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31University of Washington2.790.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Hawaii3.680.2%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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6.91California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.1%1st Place
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13.61California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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7.6Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.83Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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7.0University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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19.59University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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13.61California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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16.88Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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20.25California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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15.57University of California at Berkeley1.320.0%1st Place
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16.36Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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14.47University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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12.98University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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11.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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16.47University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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19.07University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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20.93University of British Columbia0.190.0%1st Place
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15.33University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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19.61University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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18.01University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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14.56Oregon State University1.520.0%1st Place
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18.01Western Washington University0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pokras | 15.8% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 16.8% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Shadden | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Jan Tore Horn | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Pilegard | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Darling | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hickman | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.