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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.02+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.06+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.99+0.90vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.89+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.88-0.38vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.32-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.70-2.72vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.57-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Wisconsin2.0233.6%1st Place
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3.95University of Michigan1.0612.8%1st Place
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3.9University of Notre Dame0.9914.8%1st Place
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4.16Northwestern University0.8911.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Saint Thomas0.888.1%1st Place
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5.06Marquette University0.327.8%1st Place
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4.28University of Illinois0.7011.2%1st Place
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7.47University of Minnesota-1.570.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 33.6% | 23.4% | 18.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 12.8% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 14.8% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Quinn | 11.0% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.5% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.1% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 4.3% |
| Brittany Shabino | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 25.5% | 7.8% |
| Michael Rivkin | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 2.5% |
| John Cayen | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 79.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.