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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.02+1.53vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.89+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.06+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.70+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.88-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.99-2.15vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.32-1.99vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.57-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Wisconsin2.0232.1%1st Place
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4.2Northwestern University0.8912.0%1st Place
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3.9University of Michigan1.0614.0%1st Place
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4.33University of Illinois0.7010.9%1st Place
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4.73University of Saint Thomas0.888.5%1st Place
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3.85University of Notre Dame0.9915.0%1st Place
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5.01Marquette University0.326.6%1st Place
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7.46University of Minnesota-1.570.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 32.1% | 25.9% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Quinn | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 2.9% |
| Sherman Thompson | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 1.7% |
| Michael Rivkin | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 3.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 20.1% | 5.3% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 15.0% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Brittany Shabino | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 22.7% | 7.4% |
| John Cayen | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 9.8% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.