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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.49+1.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.61+3.56vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.53+2.19vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.34+3.02vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.55+0.34vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.53-3.60vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.87-1.11vs Predicted
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8Washington College-1.15-1.52vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-2.58-0.17vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.07-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Princeton University1.4941.0%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.615.3%1st Place
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5.19Drexel University-0.535.7%1st Place
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7.02Rutgers University-1.342.0%1st Place
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5.34Washington College-0.555.1%1st Place
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2.4Fordham University1.5330.6%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.873.9%1st Place
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6.48Washington College-1.152.8%1st Place
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8.83Monmouth University-2.580.5%1st Place
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6.25University of Delaware-1.073.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Logan Mraz | 41.0% | 31.3% | 16.2% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Oscar Gilroy | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
Alexander Pfeffer | 5.7% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
Andrew Martin | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 12.0% |
Austin Latimer | 5.1% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
Michael Burns | 30.6% | 29.8% | 20.7% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Griffin Jones | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 4.8% |
John Tonzola | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 8.5% |
Julia Marich | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 60.4% |
Benjamin Koly | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.