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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.21+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.79+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.76+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria2.65-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound0.55+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.34-1.49vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound1.26-3.83vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.20-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.22University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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2.78University of Victoria2.650.3%1st Place
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6.27University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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3.39Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGrath | 18.2% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Robert Berry | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Fuller | 10.7% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 3.8% |
| Neil Hawkes | 27.1% | 24.0% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| John Elam | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 25.5% | 33.5% |
| Aaron Scull | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 42.1% |
| Mike Knape | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 13.4% |
| Casey Pruitt | 19.8% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.