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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.20+2.00vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.91vs Predicted
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3American University-0.86+0.94vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-1.76+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.85-1.05vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.91-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-0.49vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.92-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Virginia Tech-0.2023.4%1st Place
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2.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1525.7%1st Place
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3.94American University-0.8614.1%1st Place
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5.65William and Mary-1.764.5%1st Place
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3.95University of Maryland-0.8513.7%1st Place
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4.17Penn State University-0.9112.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.362.8%1st Place
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5.87Catholic University of America-1.923.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 23.4% | 21.9% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Langdon Wallace | 25.7% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Arey | 14.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Sebastian Morales-Talero | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 21.9% | 20.9% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 13.7% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Erich Laughlin | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
| Grace Hartman | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 43.9% |
| Christian Aron | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 24.8% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.