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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.8%
Within 2 Positions
6.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+7.83vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+5.90vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine1.71+8.58vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.64vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.69+6.39vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.32+2.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.42+11.21vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.08+6.58vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+6.87vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.60+2.07vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.50+6.66vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay0.36+6.85vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.49+4.90vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.63-2.04vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon0.15+4.57vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.85+0.21vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia0.59+0.43vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon-0.18+2.93vs Predicted
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19Oregon State University0.85-2.89vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.36+1.28vs Predicted
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21University of Hawaii1.65-9.02vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-12.26vs Predicted
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23Stanford University2.02-13.27vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley2.12-14.92vs Predicted
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25California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-16.14vs Predicted
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26Santa Clara University2.20-16.72vs Predicted
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27California State University Monterey Bay0.36-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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5.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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11.39Stanford University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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18.21University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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14.58Western Washington University1.080.0%1st Place
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15.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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12.07University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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17.66California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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18.85California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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17.9Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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19.57University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
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16.21University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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17.43University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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20.93University of Oregon-0.180.0%1st Place
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16.11Oregon State University0.850.0%1st Place
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21.28University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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9.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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9.73Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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8.86California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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9.28Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
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18.85California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 15.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cally Tullo | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Kara Voss | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mickey Scott | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| David Widder | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.