← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.93+3.01vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+2.54vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.27+1.74vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+4.84vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.77-0.71vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego1.38+2.73vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+0.15vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.58+2.56vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis0.07+2.77vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University1.59-2.71vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington0.51-0.91vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles1.48-3.68vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University0.64-2.46vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University0.74-3.73vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine-0.12-2.26vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-1.06-1.07vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.01Stanford University2.9318.1%1st Place
-
4.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.2014.8%1st Place
-
4.74University of Hawaii2.2713.1%1st Place
-
8.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.2%1st Place
-
4.29University of Southern California2.7716.6%1st Place
-
8.73University of California at San Diego1.383.4%1st Place
-
7.15California Poly Maritime Academy1.895.7%1st Place
-
10.56University of California at Berkeley0.582.3%1st Place
-
11.77University of California at Davis0.071.3%1st Place
-
7.29San Diego State University1.595.9%1st Place
-
10.09University of Washington0.512.5%1st Place
-
8.32University of California at Los Angeles1.485.1%1st Place
-
10.54Western Washington University0.642.7%1st Place
-
10.27Arizona State University0.742.1%1st Place
-
12.74University of California at Irvine-0.121.0%1st Place
-
14.93California State University Channel Islands-1.060.7%1st Place
-
14.21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 18.1% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 13.1% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Hou | 16.6% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Blake Buckner | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 10.6% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 44.4% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 23.2% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.