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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+3.55vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.77+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.48+4.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.38+3.85vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+0.93vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+1.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.07+3.81vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.27-4.31vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University1.59-2.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69+3.31vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.51-1.79vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.74-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.58-3.52vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.64-4.30vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.12-3.19vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.06-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.2014.2%1st Place
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4.08Stanford University2.9318.7%1st Place
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4.23University of Southern California2.7716.8%1st Place
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8.35University of California at Los Angeles1.483.1%1st Place
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8.85University of California at San Diego1.383.7%1st Place
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6.93California Poly Maritime Academy1.896.4%1st Place
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8.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.4%1st Place
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11.81University of California at Davis0.071.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Hawaii2.2714.5%1st Place
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7.21San Diego State University1.596.5%1st Place
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14.31University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.5%1st Place
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10.21University of Washington0.512.5%1st Place
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10.25Arizona State University0.742.1%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Berkeley0.582.0%1st Place
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10.7Western Washington University0.641.9%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Irvine-0.121.2%1st Place
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14.93California State University Channel Islands-1.060.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 14.2% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 18.7% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 16.8% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 6.2% |
| Bastien Rasse | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 21.9% | 30.3% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 10.9% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.