← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.7
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+4.88vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.32+6.73vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.47+4.85vs Predicted
-
4California State University Monterey Bay0.36+14.68vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University1.69+6.54vs Predicted
-
6Santa Clara University2.20+3.04vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley2.12+2.36vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+0.73vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami1.63+2.86vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine1.71+1.57vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California0.85+5.04vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University1.08+3.37vs Predicted
-
13University of Hawaii1.65-1.04vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-0.36+7.78vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands0.50+3.09vs Predicted
-
16University of British Columbia0.59+1.61vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.76vs Predicted
-
18University of Oregon-0.18+2.99vs Predicted
-
19University of Oregon0.15+0.63vs Predicted
-
20Oregon State University1.47-7.42vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Davis0.42-2.36vs Predicted
-
22California State University Monterey Bay0.36-3.32vs Predicted
-
23Northwestern University0.49-4.98vs Predicted
-
24University of California at San Diego1.60-11.90vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-15.49vs Predicted
-
26Stanford University2.02-15.94vs Predicted
-
27University of Washington2.25-17.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.88University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
-
8.73University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
-
7.85University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
-
18.68California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
-
11.54Stanford University1.690.0%1st Place
-
9.04Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
-
9.36University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
-
8.73California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
-
11.86University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
-
11.57University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
-
16.04University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
-
15.37Western Washington University1.080.0%1st Place
-
11.96University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
-
21.78University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
-
18.09California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
-
17.61University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
-
16.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
-
20.99University of Oregon-0.180.0%1st Place
-
19.63University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
-
12.58Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
-
18.64University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
-
18.68California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
-
18.02Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
-
12.1University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
-
9.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
10.06Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
-
9.15University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Cally Tullo | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kara Voss | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| David Widder | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Mickey Scott | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.