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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+3.75vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+1.64vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+3.08vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.77-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.58+3.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.38+0.72vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.07+2.63vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University1.59-2.83vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-2.27vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.64-1.43vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.44-2.17vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.12-1.45vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.74-4.92vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-1.74vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.06-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75University of Hawaii2.2714.3%1st Place
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3.93Stanford University2.9319.4%1st Place
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4.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.2013.9%1st Place
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7.08California Poly Maritime Academy1.895.8%1st Place
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4.25University of Southern California2.7716.4%1st Place
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8.21University of California at Los Angeles1.484.9%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Berkeley0.581.8%1st Place
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8.72University of California at San Diego1.383.7%1st Place
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11.63University of California at Davis0.072.0%1st Place
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7.17San Diego State University1.595.4%1st Place
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8.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.8%1st Place
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10.57Western Washington University0.642.4%1st Place
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10.83University of Washington0.441.9%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Irvine-0.120.9%1st Place
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10.08Arizona State University0.742.8%1st Place
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14.26University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.6%1st Place
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15.04California State University Channel Islands-1.060.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 19.4% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 13.9% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Hou | 16.4% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 5.3% |
| Blake Buckner | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 9.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 23.2% | 29.9% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 19.3% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.