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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
6.3
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.69+10.82vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine1.71+9.88vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley2.12+6.61vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+4.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+4.69vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.36+12.84vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.20+2.00vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.65+3.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+7.05vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.02-0.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.60+0.98vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon0.15+7.83vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.08+2.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-8.28vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia0.59+2.59vs Predicted
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16University of Washington2.25-7.15vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.36+4.62vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii2.32-9.52vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California0.85-2.74vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands0.50-2.33vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis0.42-2.46vs Predicted
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22Oregon State University1.47-9.09vs Predicted
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23University of Southern California2.47-15.31vs Predicted
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24Northwestern University0.49-6.21vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay0.36-6.16vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon-0.18-4.86vs Predicted
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27University of Miami1.63-14.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.82Stanford University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.88University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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8.91California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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9.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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18.84California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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9.0Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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16.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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9.98Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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11.98University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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19.83University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
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15.03Western Washington University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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17.59University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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21.62University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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16.26University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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17.67California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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18.54University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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12.91Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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17.79Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
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18.84California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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21.14University of Oregon-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cally Tullo | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mickey Scott | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 13.2% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 28.8% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| David Widder | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Kara Voss | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.