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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+3.04vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+1.83vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.77+0.27vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University1.59+2.09vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.38+1.69vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-0.92vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-0.25vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.58+0.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.07+0.66vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.64-1.47vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69+1.21vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.74-3.79vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.12-2.23vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.44-5.12vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.06-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Stanford University2.9317.6%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.2015.4%1st Place
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4.83University of Hawaii2.2713.5%1st Place
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4.27University of Southern California2.7717.2%1st Place
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7.09San Diego State University1.596.9%1st Place
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8.16University of California at Los Angeles1.484.0%1st Place
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8.69University of California at San Diego1.383.8%1st Place
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7.08California Poly Maritime Academy1.896.2%1st Place
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8.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.2%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Berkeley0.582.0%1st Place
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11.66University of California at Davis0.071.4%1st Place
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10.53Western Washington University0.642.3%1st Place
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14.21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.7%1st Place
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10.21Arizona State University0.742.4%1st Place
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12.77University of California at Irvine-0.120.9%1st Place
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10.88University of Washington0.442.4%1st Place
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14.82California State University Channel Islands-1.060.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 17.6% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 15.4% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 17.2% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 22.5% | 30.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 11.2% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 19.4% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.