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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.9%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.89+9.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+3.76vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.85+13.26vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+5.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis0.42+12.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley2.12+3.25vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+1.68vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University2.20+0.61vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.47-1.58vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.36+8.39vs Predicted
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11University of Washington2.25-2.56vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.08+3.02vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.02-3.28vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.63-2.20vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University0.85+1.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.02vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.50+0.82vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego1.60-5.99vs Predicted
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19University of Hawaii1.59-6.99vs Predicted
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20University of British Columbia0.59-2.98vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.36+0.67vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay0.36-3.61vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine1.71-11.60vs Predicted
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24Stanford University1.69-12.63vs Predicted
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25Northwestern University0.49-7.43vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon0.15-6.32vs Predicted
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27University of Oregon-0.18-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.5University of Hawaii1.890.0%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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16.26University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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17.87University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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9.25University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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8.68California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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8.61Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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18.39California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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15.02Western Washington University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.72Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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16.04Oregon State University0.850.0%1st Place
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15.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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17.82California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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12.01University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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17.02University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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21.67University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
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18.39California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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11.37Stanford University1.690.0%1st Place
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17.57Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
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19.68University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
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21.22University of Oregon-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Soto | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 13.6% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kara Voss | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cally Tullo | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Mickey Scott | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| David Widder | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.