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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+3.01vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+2.55vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.77+1.37vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.59+3.10vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.27-0.08vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.12+5.61vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.51+2.00vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-0.34vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.64+0.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.38-2.32vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.07-0.30vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.74-2.73vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.48-5.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.58-4.35vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-1.59vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.06-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Stanford University2.9319.1%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.2015.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Southern California2.7715.4%1st Place
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7.1San Diego State University1.596.6%1st Place
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4.92University of Hawaii2.2712.6%1st Place
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7.25California Poly Maritime Academy1.895.0%1st Place
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12.61University of California at Irvine-0.120.8%1st Place
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10.0University of Washington0.513.0%1st Place
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8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.5%1st Place
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10.79Western Washington University0.642.2%1st Place
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8.68University of California at San Diego1.383.5%1st Place
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11.7University of California at Davis0.071.8%1st Place
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10.27Arizona State University0.742.5%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Los Angeles1.485.1%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Berkeley0.582.2%1st Place
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14.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.5%1st Place
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14.98California State University Channel Islands-1.060.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 19.1% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bastien Rasse | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 11.5% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 5.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 23.8% | 30.5% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 21.1% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.