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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+3.21vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.20+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.28vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University1.59+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.38+1.83vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.51+1.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.07+1.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.58-0.60vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-3.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.12-0.33vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.74-3.59vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.06-0.04vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.64-5.37vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of Southern California2.7718.1%1st Place
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3.98Stanford University2.9318.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii2.2713.2%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.2016.8%1st Place
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8.28University of California at Los Angeles1.483.9%1st Place
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7.15San Diego State University1.595.8%1st Place
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8.83University of California at San Diego1.383.5%1st Place
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7.33California Poly Maritime Academy1.894.2%1st Place
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10.06University of Washington0.512.2%1st Place
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11.79University of California at Davis0.071.5%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Berkeley0.582.5%1st Place
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8.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.6%1st Place
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12.67University of California at Irvine-0.121.1%1st Place
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10.41Arizona State University0.742.9%1st Place
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14.96California State University Channel Islands-1.060.5%1st Place
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10.63Western Washington University0.641.7%1st Place
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14.27University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 18.1% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 18.2% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Eastwood | 16.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Blake Buckner | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 5.7% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 10.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 19.7% | 45.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 23.1% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.