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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+7.53vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.36+16.62vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.02+6.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.32+2.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley2.12+3.09vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+1.61vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.50+9.49vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.69+2.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.71+1.21vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.78+5.06vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+4.11vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.48vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University1.42-1.17vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.42+3.16vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.63-4.19vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego1.60-5.14vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California2.47-10.53vs Predicted
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19University of British Columbia0.59-1.70vs Predicted
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20University of Hawaii1.59-8.44vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay0.36-2.38vs Predicted
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22Northwestern University0.49-4.02vs Predicted
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23University of Oregon0.15-3.71vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon-0.18-3.20vs Predicted
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25Oregon State University0.85-9.40vs Predicted
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26Western Washington University1.08-11.10vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles-0.36-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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18.62California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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9.72Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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8.61California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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17.49California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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11.22Stanford University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.21University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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16.06University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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16.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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12.83Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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18.16University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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17.3University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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18.62California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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17.98Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
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19.29University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
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20.8University of Oregon-0.180.0%1st Place
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15.6Oregon State University0.850.0%1st Place
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14.9Western Washington University1.080.0%1st Place
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21.84University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Cally Tullo | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Kara Voss | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Mickey Scott | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| David Widder | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.