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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+3.01vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.77+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+5.12vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.59+3.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.20-0.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.58+4.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.38+1.82vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.27-3.20vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.89-1.99vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-1.32vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.07+0.58vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.64-1.53vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.12-0.30vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.74-3.74vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-0.77vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.44-5.13vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.06-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Stanford University2.9318.8%1st Place
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4.33University of Southern California2.7716.2%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Los Angeles1.484.2%1st Place
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7.22San Diego State University1.595.8%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.2015.7%1st Place
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10.46University of California at Berkeley0.582.1%1st Place
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8.82University of California at San Diego1.383.7%1st Place
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4.8University of Hawaii2.2712.5%1st Place
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7.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.897.2%1st Place
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8.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.133.7%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Davis0.071.6%1st Place
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10.47Western Washington University0.642.5%1st Place
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12.7University of California at Irvine-0.120.8%1st Place
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10.26Arizona State University0.742.0%1st Place
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14.23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.8%1st Place
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10.87University of Washington0.442.3%1st Place
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14.91California State University Channel Islands-1.060.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 18.8% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 16.2% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Blake Buckner | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| David Eastwood | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael McCulloch | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Bastien Rasse | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Amir Tadros | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 11.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 22.8% | 29.1% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Kaylena Mann | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 20.0% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.