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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+7.43vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+3.58vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.63+8.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.60+7.76vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.02+4.31vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.36+12.51vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University1.42+5.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley2.12+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.10vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+4.60vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.69-0.47vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.47-5.60vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.78+2.27vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.65-3.50vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.49+1.75vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis0.42+1.20vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands0.50-0.23vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine1.71-7.84vs Predicted
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20University of Hawaii1.89-10.12vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay0.36-2.49vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-0.36-0.36vs Predicted
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23University of British Columbia0.59-5.82vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon0.15-4.64vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon-0.18-4.45vs Predicted
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26Oregon State University0.85-10.06vs Predicted
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27Western Washington University1.08-11.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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11.71University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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11.76University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University2.020.1%1st Place
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18.51California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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12.63Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.68University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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9.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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8.52California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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15.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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11.53Stanford University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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16.27University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Hawaii1.650.0%1st Place
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17.75Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
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18.2University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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17.77California State University Channel Islands0.500.0%1st Place
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11.16University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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18.51California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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21.64University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
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17.18University of British Columbia0.590.0%1st Place
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19.36University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
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20.55University of Oregon-0.180.0%1st Place
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15.94Oregon State University0.850.0%1st Place
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15.06Western Washington University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kara Voss | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Cally Tullo | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Clarke | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Soto | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeanne Currie | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Mickey Scott | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| David Widder | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.