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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay0.50+8.78vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.06+6.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.48+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+0.76vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.52-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine0.90+2.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.72-0.91vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.50+1.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-5.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.46vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University1.55-4.35vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.31-1.54vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.09-5.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-0.58vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.37-2.60vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-4.52vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-0.55-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.78California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Southern California1.060.0%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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3.92California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.2%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
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9.78California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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6.65Santa Clara University1.550.1%1st Place
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10.46University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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13.42University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.4University of California at Davis-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.48University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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13.06University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Stege | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Pravan Chugani | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 12.9% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Lynch | 18.7% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 20.7% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 20.4% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Hoult | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Estella Wong | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 20.6% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.