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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.72+0.59vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.10+1.32vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.07+0.35vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.07-2.90vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-0.33-1.06vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.93-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.49-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Tufts University2.720.6%1st Place
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4.32University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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4.35Middlebury College0.070.1%1st Place
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2.1Tufts University2.070.3%1st Place
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4.94Amherst College-0.330.0%1st Place
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5.7Amherst College-0.930.0%1st Place
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5.0University of New Hampshire-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Pesch | 55.9% | 32.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Whit Durant | 3.6% | 6.8% | 20.5% | 23.0% | 22.8% | 15.4% | 7.9% |
| Scott Zolkos | 5.2% | 6.7% | 18.8% | 22.6% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 9.5% |
| Matthew Russell | 28.9% | 42.1% | 21.0% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Keaton Burns | 2.1% | 4.7% | 11.8% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 22.4% | 19.1% |
| Elizabeth Braunstein | 1.3% | 2.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 43.4% |
| William Trumper | 3.0% | 4.9% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 25.3% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.