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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.20+1.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.95vs Predicted
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3American University-0.86+0.87vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.850.00vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.91-0.85vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.92-0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-0.43vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.76-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Virginia Tech-0.2025.8%1st Place
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2.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.1525.7%1st Place
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3.87American University-0.8614.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Maryland-0.8512.7%1st Place
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4.15Penn State University-0.9111.5%1st Place
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5.88Catholic University of America-1.924.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.362.1%1st Place
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5.67William and Mary-1.764.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 25.8% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Langdon Wallace | 25.7% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Arey | 14.0% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Erich Laughlin | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 3.5% |
| Christian Aron | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 25.9% | 23.5% |
| Grace Hartman | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 46.3% |
| Sebastian Morales-Talero | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 22.7% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.