← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.06+7.01vs Predicted
-
2Santa Clara University1.55+4.50vs Predicted
-
3California State University Monterey Bay0.50+6.90vs Predicted
-
4California State University Monterey Bay0.50+5.90vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.94vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy2.52-2.09vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.13vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara1.72-1.93vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.92-0.48vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.31+0.48vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-6.35vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley1.09-4.01vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine0.90-4.32vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-0.56vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.70vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-0.37-3.41vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-0.55-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.01University of Southern California1.060.0%1st Place
-
6.5Santa Clara University1.550.1%1st Place
-
9.9California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
-
9.9California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
-
4.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
-
3.91California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.2%1st Place
-
6.87University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
-
6.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
-
8.52University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
-
10.48University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
4.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
-
7.99University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
-
8.68University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
-
13.44University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
-
11.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
12.59University of California at Davis-0.370.0%1st Place
-
13.04University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pravan Chugani | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 18.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corey Lynch | 20.3% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 20.7% | 33.6% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Hoult | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Estella Wong | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 21.7% | 25.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.