← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+3.56vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Irvine0.90+6.59vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.96vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley1.48+2.91vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy2.52-1.09vs Predicted
-
6California State University Monterey Bay0.50+3.98vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.65vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara1.72-2.10vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley1.09-0.99vs Predicted
-
10Santa Clara University1.55-3.39vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay0.50-1.02vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego0.31-1.47vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-0.78+0.40vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.63vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-0.37-2.59vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-0.55-3.00vs Predicted
-
17University of Southern California1.06-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
-
8.59University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
-
3.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
-
6.91University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
-
3.91California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.2%1st Place
-
9.98California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
-
8.65University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
-
5.9University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
-
8.01University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
-
6.61Santa Clara University1.550.1%1st Place
-
9.98California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
-
10.53University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
13.4University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
-
11.37University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
12.41University of California at Davis-0.370.0%1st Place
-
13.0University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
-
8.22University of Southern California1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Schiff | 14.8% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 19.3% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Corey Lynch | 17.8% | 20.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 34.5% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Hoult | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Estella Wong | 0.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 22.1% | 25.4% | 0.0% |
| Pravan Chugani | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.