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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+3.99vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.31+6.68vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.55+1.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.09+2.07vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.52-3.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.90-0.46vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.50+0.03vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.92-2.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.37+0.39vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.78+0.44vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.71vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.55-1.99vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.50-5.97vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California1.06-8.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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10.68University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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6.62Santa Clara University1.550.1%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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3.99California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.2%1st Place
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6.64University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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10.03California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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12.39University of California at Davis-0.370.0%1st Place
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13.44University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.29University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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13.01University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.03California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Southern California1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobi Allen | 18.7% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 13.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Corey Lynch | 20.1% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Hoult | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Estella Wong | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 22.7% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Pravan Chugani | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.