← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy2.52+2.85vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.06+6.06vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.94vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+2.15vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine0.90+3.64vs Predicted
-
6California State University Monterey Bay0.50+4.06vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.67vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.38vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-4.40vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley1.09-1.88vs Predicted
-
11Santa Clara University1.55-4.47vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego0.31-1.53vs Predicted
-
13California State University Monterey Bay0.50-2.94vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-0.37-1.55vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.70vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-0.55-2.99vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.85California Poly Maritime Academy2.520.2%1st Place
-
8.06University of Southern California1.060.0%1st Place
-
3.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
-
6.15University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
-
8.64University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
-
10.06California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
-
8.67University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
-
6.62University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
-
4.6University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.2%1st Place
-
8.12University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
-
6.53Santa Clara University1.550.1%1st Place
-
10.47University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
10.06California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
-
12.45University of California at Davis-0.370.0%1st Place
-
11.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
13.01University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
-
13.53University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Lynch | 18.6% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pravan Chugani | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 18.9% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 15.3% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Hoult | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 19.5% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Estella Wong | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 21.8% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.