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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.41vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.50+7.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+2.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.31+6.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.90+2.99vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.50+3.15vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University1.55-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-3.83vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.48-3.01vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.06-2.62vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.09-3.62vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy0.62-3.17vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.38-1.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.37-3.14vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.55-3.43vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.78-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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9.15California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
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10.02University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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9.15California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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5.99Santa Clara University1.550.1%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.2%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Southern California1.060.1%1st Place
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7.38University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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8.83California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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11.98University of California at Berkeley-0.380.0%1st Place
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10.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Davis-0.370.0%1st Place
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12.57University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.14University of California at Los Angeles-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobi Allen | 24.5% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 17.1% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pravan Chugani | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Antrobus | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ted Chavkin | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Hoult | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Estella Wong | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Alcorn | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.