Race 1A

south-fleet-race-ewenson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Matthew Wallace 17.6% 16.6% 16.8% 16.9% 16.0% 11.5% 4.8%
Carter Brock 5.4% 6.5% 7.1% 9.0% 9.3% 18.1% 44.5%
Celia Houston 11.1% 13.2% 13.5% 14.0% 17.3% 17.5% 13.4%
Grant Adam 17.7% 17.9% 16.8% 16.2% 14.3% 11.3% 5.7%
Luke Hosek 13.7% 14.2% 15.4% 14.4% 13.9% 15.3% 13.1%
Ben Rosenberg 22.8% 20.7% 18.1% 15.8% 12.1% 7.8% 2.8%
Olivia Lowthian 11.8% 10.9% 12.3% 13.7% 17.1% 18.4% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.