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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+2.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+2.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.34+0.38vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.97+0.34vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.65+0.45vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.01-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.59-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Tufts University1.3518.6%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.818.6%1st Place
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3.38Brown University1.3418.4%1st Place
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4.34Salve Regina University0.9710.8%1st Place
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5.45Northeastern University0.654.8%1st Place
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3.98Roger Williams University1.0114.5%1st Place
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3.06University of Rhode Island1.5924.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matthew Wallace | 18.6% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
Celia Houston | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 16.3% |
Grant Adam | 18.4% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
Olivia Lowthian | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 15.5% |
Carter Brock | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 17.2% | 44.5% |
Luke Hosek | 14.5% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 10.5% |
Ben Rosenberg | 24.1% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.