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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+2.49vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.59+0.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.34-0.57vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.01-1.06vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.65-0.58vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Tufts University1.3517.7%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.8110.4%1st Place
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3.08University of Rhode Island1.5923.2%1st Place
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3.43Brown University1.3419.3%1st Place
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3.94Roger Williams University1.0113.2%1st Place
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5.42Northeastern University0.655.1%1st Place
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4.29Salve Regina University0.9711.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 17.7% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 5.8% |
| Celia Houston | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 16.9% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 23.2% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Grant Adam | 19.3% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 5.8% |
| Luke Hosek | 13.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 9.9% |
| Carter Brock | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 43.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.